St. Cloud State
W-L: (11-24) PR = 96.5139Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 919 H Lindenwood TL (15-22, 94.7) 5- 0 920 H Lindenwood TL (15-22, 94.7) 5- 0 926 A Connecticut E (30-10, 96.8) 2- 1 927 A Connecticut E (30-10, 96.8) 1- 2 1010 A Minnesota CHA (24-13, 98.2) 1- 4 1011 H Minnesota CHA (24-13, 98.2) 3- 5 1017 H St. Thomas CHA (12-23, 96.2) 4- 3 1018 H St. Thomas CHA (12-23, 96.2) 3- 4 1024 A Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 5 1025 A Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 2- 4 1031 H Minnesota Duluth CHA (21-14, 97.7) 3- 5 1101 H Minnesota Duluth CHA (21-14, 97.7) 2- 3 1114 H Wisconsin CHA (33- 6, 99.8) 1- 5 1115 H Wisconsin CHA (33- 6, 99.8) 4- 4 1121 A Bemidji State CHA ( 7-25, 95.0) 4- 0 1122 A Bemidji State CHA ( 7-25, 95.0) 5- 6 1129 A RIT TL (17-20, 95.2) 0- 2 1205 A Minnesota State CHA (18-19, 96.6) 4- 0 1206 A Minnesota State CHA (18-19, 96.6) 2- 3 109 H Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 0- 4 110 H Ohio State CHA (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 5 113 H Harvard CAC (16-15, 95.7) 1- 2 116 A Minnesota Duluth CHA (21-14, 97.7) 2- 2 117 A Minnesota Duluth CHA (21-14, 97.7) 5- 2 123 H Minnesota CHA (24-13, 98.2) 1- 8 124 A Minnesota CHA (24-13, 98.2) 1- 5 130 A St. Thomas CHA (12-23, 96.2) 2- 3 131 A St. Thomas CHA (12-23, 96.2) 2- 3 206 H Minnesota State CHA (18-19, 96.6) 5- 1 207 H Minnesota State CHA (18-19, 96.6) 1- 4 213 H Bemidji State CHA ( 7-25, 95.0) 6- 2 214 H Bemidji State CHA ( 7-25, 95.0) 5- 0 221 A Wisconsin CHA (33- 6, 99.8) 2- 9 222 A Wisconsin CHA (33- 6, 99.8) 2- 4 227 A Minnesota CHA (24-13, 98.2) 1- 0 228 A Minnesota CHA (24-13, 98.2) 1- 4 301 A Minnesota CHA (24-13, 98.2) 1- 6
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
919 H Lindenwood 5- 0 5 2 + 2.82
920 H Lindenwood 5- 0 5 2 + 2.82
926 A Connecticut 2- 1 1 -1 1.70
927 A Connecticut 1- 2 -1 -1 -0.30
1010 A Minnesota 1- 4 -3 -2 -0.92
1011 H Minnesota 3- 5 -2 -1 -0.71
1017 H St. Thomas 4- 3 1 1 0.25
1018 H St. Thomas 3- 4 -1 1 -1.75
1024 A Ohio State 1- 5 -4 -4 -0.22
1025 A Ohio State 2- 4 -2 -4 1.78
1031 H Minnesota Duluth 3- 5 -2 -1 -1.22
1101 H Minnesota Duluth 2- 3 -1 -1 -0.22
1114 H Wisconsin 1- 5 -4 -3 -1.10
1115 H Wisconsin 4- 4 0 -3 + 2.90
1121 A Bemidji State 4- 0 4 1 + 2.91
1122 A Bemidji State 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.09
1129 A RIT 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.93
1205 A Minnesota State 4- 0 4 0 ++ 4.44
1206 A Minnesota State 2- 3 -1 0 -0.56
109 H Ohio State 0- 4 -4 -3 -1.01
110 H Ohio State 1- 5 -4 -3 -1.01
113 H Harvard 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.23
116 A Minnesota Duluth 2- 2 0 -2 1.56
117 A Minnesota Duluth 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 4.56
123 H Minnesota 1- 8 -7 -1 -- -5.71
124 A Minnesota 1- 5 -4 -2 -1.92
130 A St. Thomas 2- 3 -1 0 -0.96
131 A St. Thomas 2- 3 -1 0 -0.96
206 H Minnesota State 5- 1 4 0 + 3.65
207 H Minnesota State 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.35
213 H Bemidji State 6- 2 4 2 + 2.13
214 H Bemidji State 5- 0 5 2 + 3.13
221 A Wisconsin 2- 9 -7 -4 - -3.31
222 A Wisconsin 2- 4 -2 -4 1.69
228 A Minnesota 1- 4 -3 -2 -0.92
301 A Minnesota 1- 6 -5 -2 - -2.92
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 123 H Minnesota 1- 8 -7 -1 -- -5.71 1122 A Bemidji State 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.09 1129 A RIT 0- 2 -2 1 - -2.93 113 H Harvard 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.23 207 H Minnesota State 1- 4 -3 0 - -3.35 221 A Wisconsin 2- 9 -7 -4 - -3.31 301 A Minnesota 1- 6 -5 -2 - -2.92 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1205 A Minnesota State 4- 0 4 0 ++ 4.44 117 A Minnesota Duluth 5- 2 3 -2 ++ 4.56 919 H Lindenwood 5- 0 5 2 + 2.82 920 H Lindenwood 5- 0 5 2 + 2.82 1115 H Wisconsin 4- 4 0 -3 + 2.90 1121 A Bemidji State 4- 0 4 1 + 2.91 206 H Minnesota State 5- 1 4 0 + 3.65 213 H Bemidji State 6- 2 4 2 + 2.13 214 H Bemidji State 5- 0 5 2 + 3.13 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 36.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Lindenwood (15-22, 94.7) 5- 0 -5.17 2.83 -0.39 0.99 4.82
3 H Lindenwood (15-22, 94.7) 5- 0 -5.17 2.83 -0.39 0.99 4.82
3 A Connecticut (30-10, 96.8) 2- 1 -3.08 4.92 0.39 0.99 10.52
3 A Connecticut (30-10, 96.8) 1- 2 -3.08 4.92 0.39 0.99 -1.33
3 A Minnesota (24-13, 98.2) 1- 4 -1.70 6.30 0.39 0.99 -0.65
3 H Minnesota (24-13, 98.2) 3- 5 -1.70 6.30 -0.39 0.99 -1.04
3 H St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 4- 3 -3.74 4.26 -0.39 0.99 7.66
3 H St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 3- 4 -3.74 4.26 -0.39 0.99 -2.04
3 A Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 5 -0.00 8.00 0.39 0.99 -0.19
3 A Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 2- 4 -0.00 8.00 0.39 0.99 -0.19
3 H Minnesota Dulu (21-14, 97.7) 3- 5 -2.22 5.79 -0.39 0.99 -1.29
3 H Minnesota Dulu (21-14, 97.7) 2- 3 -2.22 5.79 -0.39 0.99 -1.29
3 H Wisconsin (33- 6, 99.8) 1- 5 -0.09 7.91 -0.39 0.99 -0.24
3 A Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.0) 4- 0 -4.87 3.14 0.39 0.99 6.99
3 A Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.0) 5- 6 -4.87 3.14 0.39 0.99 -2.21
3 A RIT (17-20, 95.2) 0- 2 -4.71 3.29 0.39 0.99 -2.14
3 A Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 4- 0 -3.34 4.66 0.39 0.99 10.01
3 A Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 2- 3 -3.34 4.66 0.39 0.99 -1.46
3 H Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 0- 4 -0.00 8.00 -0.39 0.99 -0.19
3 H Ohio State (37- 5, 99.9) 1- 5 -0.00 8.00 -0.39 0.99 -0.19
3 H Harvard (16-15, 95.7) 1- 2 -4.22 3.78 -0.39 0.99 -2.28
3 A Minnesota Dulu (21-14, 97.7) 2- 2 -2.22 5.79 0.39 0.99 0.00
3 A Minnesota Dulu (21-14, 97.7) 5- 2 -2.22 5.79 0.39 0.99 12.23
3 H Minnesota (24-13, 98.2) 1- 8 -1.70 6.30 -0.39 0.99 -1.04
3 A Minnesota (24-13, 98.2) 1- 5 -1.70 6.30 0.39 0.99 -0.65
3 A St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 2- 3 -3.74 4.26 0.39 0.99 -1.66
3 A St. Thomas (12-23, 96.2) 2- 3 -3.74 4.26 0.39 0.99 -1.66
3 H Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 5- 1 -3.34 4.66 -0.39 0.99 8.45
3 H Minnesota Stat (18-19, 96.6) 1- 4 -3.34 4.66 -0.39 0.99 -1.85
3 H Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.0) 6- 2 -4.87 3.14 -0.39 0.99 5.43
3 H Bemidji State ( 7-25, 95.0) 5- 0 -4.87 3.14 -0.39 0.99 5.43
3 A Wisconsin (33- 6, 99.8) 2- 9 -0.09 7.91 0.39 0.99 -0.15
3 A Wisconsin (33- 6, 99.8) 2- 4 -0.09 7.91 0.39 0.99 -0.15
3 A Minnesota (24-13, 98.2) 1- 0 -1.70 6.30 0.39 0.99 13.25
3 A Minnesota (24-13, 98.2) 1- 4 -1.70 6.30 0.39 0.99 -0.65
3 A Minnesota (24-13, 98.2) 1- 6 -1.70 6.30 0.39 0.99 -0.65
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64.42
|
winning pts = 89.6125 losing points = -25.1926
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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